I proposed this question: “Is it ethical for rich countries to drive cars if it causes poor countries to starve?”
This problem was exacerbated in the World Food crisis in 2007 and 2008, when oil prices hit all time highs and the arbitrage relationship between oil and food was exploited.
Here is the relationship:
- The US and Brazil are the largest producers (89%) of ethanol fuel using corn and sugar cane (respectively).
- When oil prices increase, people have a tendency to switch to ethanol based fuels.
- When the demand for ethanol increases (as a substitute) the demand on the inputs for ethanol (corn, sugar cane, potatoes) also increases.
- There are real arbitrage opportunities by hedgers, speculators and even farmers as they shift the use of arable land to produce more valuable crops. However, even with arbitrage there are limits as arable land is limited (to create more arable land, there is often deforestation which creates its own sustainability issues).
- Also poor countries have a much higher sensitivity to fluctuations in the price of raw commodities whereas rich countries are insulated from food costs because they only represent a small percentage of the final costs (including value added costs such as manufacturing, distribution and retail costs). It’s the difference between eating a bowl of rice versus a bowl of Rice Krispies.
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